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Posted: November 22, 2020

COVID-19 Indian Country IHS

The Indian Health Service has updated its coronavirus data, showing results as of November 20, 2020.

According to the data, 94,206 tests have returned positive for COVID-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus. That represents an increase of 0.88 percent from the 93,387 cases previously reported by the IHS.

Altogether, 1,300,950 coronavirus tests have been administered within the IHS through November 20, the data shows. That marks an increase of 0.62 percent from the day prior.

Since mid-October, the IHS has been providing additional information about the spread of the coronavirus within the system. The cumulative percent positive column shows the historical COVID-19 infection rate, meaning the number of tests that have returned positive since the onset of the pandemic.

Based on the cumulative percent positive, the highest rates have been seen in the Navajo Area (13.6 percent), the Phoenix Area (12.7 percent), the Oklahoma City Area (9.6 percent) and the Great Plains Area (9.4 percent). The first two regions include the state of Arizona, indicating a disproportionate toll of COVID-19 in the state.

The 7-day rolling average positivity column offers a more contemporary look at the impact of the coronavirus. The data shows where COVID-19 cases have been increasing recently.

Based on the 7-day rolling average positivity, five regions have seen dramatic increases in COVID-19 cases. They are: the Great Plains Area (21.9 percent), the Albuquerque Area (19.1 percent), the Billings Area (16.5 percent), the Oklahoma City Area (15.7 percent) and the Navajo Area (15.5 percent).

Overall, 7.8 percent of IHS tests have been positive since the onset of the pandemic, the data shows. The 7-day average has grown higher over the last few weeks and now stands at 12.2 percent.

The data, however, is incomplete. While 100 percent of facilities run directly by the IHS are reporting data, only 33 percent of tribally managed facilities and 44 percent of urban Indian organizations are doing the same, the agency has told Indianz.Com.

The agency also provided to Indianz.Com the service population for 2019: 2,562,290. Based on that figure, 50.8 percent of American Indians and Alaska Natives have been tested for the coronavirus since the IHS began reporting data in March.

The IHS user population, on the other hand, is a much smaller number. As of 2019, 1,662,834 American Indians and Alaska Natives have lived within a service delivery area and have received health care at an IHS or tribal facility during the previous three years.

Based on the user population, 78.2 percent of Native Americans have been tested for the coronavirus since the IHS began reporting data in March.

COVID-19 Cases by IHS Area

Data are reported from IHS, tribal, and urban Indian organization facilities, though reporting by tribal and urban programs is voluntary. Data reflect cases reported to the IHS through 11:59 pm on November 20, 2020.

IHS Area
Tested
Positive
Negative
Cumulative
percent
positive *
7-day rolling
average
positivity *
Alaska 340,829 6,593 290,300 2.2% 4.4%
Albuquerque 66,435 4,790 48,108 9.1% 19.1%
Bemidji 89,219 5,732 80,803 6.6% 12.7%
Billings 76,439 5,660 66,367 7.9% 16.5%
California 29,766 1,987 26,309 7.0% 11.0%
Great Plains 101,671 9,432 91,265 9.4% 21.9%
Nashville 39,187 2,808 35,453 7.3% 6.6%
Navajo 140,891 15,953 101,382 13.6% 15.5%
Oklahoma City 257,544 23,898 226,166 9.6% 15.7%
Phoenix 102,807 12,977 89,073 12.7% 11.7%
Portland 46,391 3,549 42,099 7.8% 8.7%
Tucson 9,771 827 8,846 8.5% 13.3%
TOTAL 1,300,950 94,206 1,106,171 7.8% 12.2%

* Cumulative percent positive and 7-day rolling average positivity are updated three days per week.

Source: https://www.ihs.gov/coronavirus (Indian Health Service)

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